Michael Raynor discusses the complexities of strategy in uncertain environments, particularly in the context of a flawed Canadian study recommending hydrogen buses alongside battery-electric ones. He highlights significant discrepancies in cost projections and the longevity of fuel cells versus batteries, suggesting that the assumptions made in the study could lead to a $100 million miscalculation favoring battery electric buses. Raynor emphasizes the importance of realistic data and the need for better scenario modeling in transit planning.
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